While I have cold weather on my mind lets talk about wind chill.
Question: if the wind chill is 25 degrees Fahrenheit will water freeze?
Answer: There isn’t enough information to decide.
At 35 degrees with 15 MPH winds the wind chill is 25 degrees. Water isn’t going to freeze.
If there is no wind it is 25 degrees and water will freeze.
Wind Chill is about how cold it feels. Not how cold it is. ;-)